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NapkinDeals
Beta — Early Access

Institutional Intelligence

Take-Private
Signal Intelligence

AI-powered screening of 5,000+ public companies for take-private candidacy. SEC filings, governance analysis, activist tracking, and LBO modeling — built for PE firms, hedge funds, and investment banks.

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5,000+

Companies

7

AI Sub-Scores

6 hrs

Signal Refresh

Platform Capabilities

Everything you need to source take-private opportunities

AI Composite Scoring

7-factor scoring model blending deterministic financial metrics with an AI layer that reads filings, proxies, and management commentary. Every company gets a 0-100 take-private attractiveness score.

Real-Time Signals

Track 13D filings, activist stake changes, price drops, board shakeups, and governance events as they happen. Never miss a catalyst.

LBO Quick Model

Instant back-of-envelope LBO analysis with indicative entry multiples, debt capacity, and equity check sizing for every candidate.

Governance Analysis

Board composition, anti-takeover provisions, insider ownership, and dual-class structures parsed from DEF 14A proxy statements.

Activist Tracking

13D/13G filings monitored every 6 hours. Track activist positions, stated intent, ownership changes, and threat levels.

SEC Filing Intelligence

Automated parsing of 10-K, 10-Q, DEF 14A, and Schedule 13D/13G filings. XBRL financial data extraction with cross-period normalization.

Scoring Methodology

Two-layer AI scoring for every company

A quantitative layer computes deterministic metrics from financial data. An LLM layer provides contextual judgment. The composite score blends both.

7 Score Dimensions

25%
ValuationUndervaluation vs. intrinsic value and peers
20%
Free Cash FlowCash flow strength and predictability
15%
Debt CapacityRoom for LBO leverage (4-6x EBITDA)
10%
GovernanceGovernance weakness = easier acquisition
10%
Activist PressureActivist involvement as catalyst
10%
Strategic ValueHidden assets, sum-of-parts, buyer interest
10%
Market PositionMoat, recurring revenue, defensibility

Pre-Built Screening Presets

Classic PE

Low P/E, strong FCF, manageable debt — the traditional LBO candidate profile.

P/E < 15EV/EBITDA < 10FCF Yield > 5%Debt/EBITDA < 3x

Activist / Event-Driven

Companies under activist pressure with catalysts for change.

Recent 13D filingActivist score > 60Proxy fightsBoard changes

Strategic

Sum-of-parts discount, recurring revenue, and strategic buyer appeal.

Recurring rev > 60%Strategic score > 65Sum-of-parts gapHidden assets
Data Infrastructure

Institutional-grade data, refreshed daily

Fundamentals & Market Data

  • Company profiles, income statements, balance sheets
  • Key ratios, enterprise values, historical prices
  • Stock screener and M&A data
  • Batch endpoints for efficient data collection

SEC Filing Intelligence

  • 10-K / 10-Q via XBRL JSON for structured financials
  • DEF 14A proxy statements for governance data
  • 13D / 13G filings for activist positions and intent
  • RSS feed monitoring every 6 hours for new filings
Built For

Designed for institutional buyers

PE Firms

Classic LBO candidates with strong cash flows and manageable debt profiles.

Hedge Funds

Event-driven opportunities around activist campaigns and governance catalysts.

Investment Banks

Pipeline generation for M&A advisory and take-private transaction coverage.

Family Offices

Long-horizon opportunities in undervalued public companies with strategic assets.

Embedded

Institutional Access

Purpose-built for PE firms, hedge funds, investment banks, and family offices that need programmatic access and dedicated support.

Full API Access

RESTful API with complete access to scores, signals, filings, and screening data. Build custom workflows and integrate with your existing systems.

Custom Dashboards

Configurable views tailored to your investment strategy. Save custom screens, watchlists, and scoring criteria for your team.

Bulk Export

Export full datasets in CSV, Excel, or JSON. Scheduled exports to your data warehouse or cloud storage for downstream analysis.

White-Glove Onboarding

Dedicated account manager, custom scoring calibration, and priority support. We tailor the platform to your investment thesis.

See it in action.

Walk through the platform with our team. We'll show you how the scoring engine works on real candidates in your target universe.

Book a Demo

This section is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute a securities offering. Napkin Deals is not a registered broker-dealer, investment advisor, or FINRA member. All analysis is AI-generated and should not be relied upon as financial advice. Users must conduct independent due diligence.